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JPMorgan spotlighted a fresh set of stocks, reflecting its analysts' top picks as May begins, including Caterpillar , Bank of America and TJX Companies . The firm's focus list includes its top equity ideas targeted around growth, income, value and short strategies. Nicholas Rosato, head of JPMorgan's North American Equity Research, said all the stocks on the list have an overweight rating. Here are some of the top picks: United Airlines shares are up about 25% in 2024, fueled largely by a strong second-quarter earnings forecast . No longer included in this month's focus list are CMS Energy and Prologis , both of which are still rated overweight by JPMorgan.
Persons: Nicholas Rosato, Morgan Stanley, Ravi Shanker, Jay Sole, Rosato Organizations: JPMorgan, Caterpillar, Bank of America, TJX Companies, North American Equity Research, United Airlines, Boeing, Investors, UBS, CMS Energy, Prologis, CMS Locations: Thursday's, Maxx
Thursday's analyst calls feature upgrades to discount retailers TJX and Burlington and used car outlet Carvana, while there was more bad news for CVS Health following a tough earnings report Wednesday. He also raised his price target to $130 from $70, or 49.2% above Wednesday's close price. He lowered his price target by $25 to $60, or just 5.6% higher from Wednesday's close price. Analyst Jay Sole also lifted his price target to $132 from $104, indicating nearly 41% upside from Wednesday's close. He raised his price target to $212 from $126, suggesting shares could gain 19.1% from where they closed Wednesday.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, Moore, Samik Chatterjee, Chatterjee, Tal Liani, Liani, — Hakyung Kim, JPMorgan Carvana, Rajat Gupta, Gupta, Kevin Caliendo, Caliendo, Jay Sole, Sole, BURL, — Hakyung Kim —, Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, CVS Health, UBS, CVS, JPMorgan, Qualcomm, Wall Street, Samsung, Huawei, Edge, headwinds, " Bank of America, Microsoft, Burlington Discount, TJX Companies, Burlington Stores, Burlington Locations: Burlington, Carvana, CY24, seasonality, optionality, Maxx
UBS upgrades TJX to buy from neutral
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS upgrades TJX to buy from neutralJay Sole, UBS managing director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why the gain from department stores will be more significant than previously thought if the balance between e-commerce and brick and mortar is net-negative optically, and more.
Persons: Jay Sole Organizations: UBS
As inflation concerns remain at the forefront of investors' minds, UBS is eyeing stocks that can find growth no matter the economic cycle. "We define compounders as all-weather stocks that leverage operational excellence and competitive advantages to grow through any phase of the economic cycle," analyst Joseph Parkhill wrote on Tuesday. S & P 500 stocks are trading near all-time high valuations of 20 times price to earnings and 14 times enterprise value/EBITDA, Parkhill said. Here's a look at some of the 17 stocks that UBS is watching. Stocks also on the UBS list include artificial intelligence plays Microsoft and Broadcom .
Persons: Joseph Parkhill, Parkhill, AMZN, Stephen Ju, Jay Sole, Stocks Organizations: UBS, Amazon, Microsoft, Broadcom
Small-cap stocks have had a shaky start in 2024, but UBS thinks the sector is worth looking at as a potential broader market rally could boost the sector. Year to date, the Russell 2000 index of small companies is up 2% while the S & P 500 has gained 6.6%. "We view the expectations around interest rates coming down as incrementally a more supportive backdrop for SMID stocks," UBS analyst Joseph Parkhill wrote in a note last week, referring to small- to mid-cap stocks. With these factors in mind, UBS analysts compiled their list of high conviction, small- and mid-cap names which the bank believes have a unique investment thesis behind them. U.S.-traded shares of Zurich-based On have surged more than 22% in 2023, bringing the past 12 months' rally to 45%.
Persons: Russell, Joseph Parkhill, Roger Federer, Jay Sole, Brody Preston, Preston, WAL, Joshua Chan, There's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Federal, LSEG, Western Alliance Bancorp Locations: ., Zurich, Phoenix, Aramark, Wall
Roach is even more bullish than many on Wall Street with a price target of $21 per share. Like many peers on the Street, she sees the company getting a boost from market share growth and an expansion of direct-to-consumer. Multiple analysts deemed Arc'teryx the "crown jewel' of Amer's portfolio. Though Arc'teryx provides a key reason for bullishness, analysts also have their eyes on other well-known brands in the portfolio. "But, the business faces an uncertain 1H24 wholesale backdrop, & comes with single-segment growth & profitability expansion reliance, multi-brand portfolio volatility risk, & high relative leverage levels."
Persons: Wilson, Arc'teryx, FactSet, Goldman Sachs, Brooke Roach, Roach, She's, Amer, Lorraine Hutchinson, Matthew Boss, Paul Lejuez, Salomon, Baird, Jonathan Komp, Amer's, Jay Sole, Morgan Stanley, Alex Straton, Straton Organizations: Amer, New York Stock Exchange, DTC, Bank of America, Amer Sports, Citi, UBS Locations: China
Shanker also raised his price target to $80 from $75, suggesting nearly 34% downside from Friday's close. — Spencer Kimball 8:16 a.m.: Loop Capital upgrades Corteva, touts growth acceleration in 2025 Corteva's stronger-than-expected 2024 full-year guidance will jumpstart a period of strong growth, according to Loop Capital. The firm upgraded the agricultural chemicals company to buy from hold and increased its price target to $65 from $57. Analyst Jay Sole upgraded Urban to neutral from sell and upped his 12-month price target by $20 to $41. Kaufman's $183 price target indicates roughly 6.3% downside for shares, which have fallen more than 18% over the past year.
Persons: headwinds, Morgan Stanley downgrades XPO, Morgan Stanley, Ravi, Shanker, — Michelle Fox, Julien Dumoulin, Smith, Duke's, — Spencer Kimball, Chris Kapsch, Kapsch, Brian Evans, Cassie Chan, they'll, Chan, , Jay Sole, URBN, Sole, Urban's, — Pia Singh, Filippo Falorni, Falorni, Hershey, Stanley, Pamela Kaufman, Kaufman's, Hershey's, Kaufman, Graham Doyle, Doyle, Piper Sandler, David Amsellem, Amsellem, Amsellam, Christopher Horvers, Jan, Horvers, Fred Imbert, Dan Levy, Levy Organizations: CNBC, Barclays, Automotive, JPMorgan, Corp, Bank of America, Bank of America downgrades Duke Energy, Duke Energy, Duke, Wall, America, UBS, Urban Outfitters, Free People, Urban, Citi, PepsiCo, Citi Research, Pepsi, Hershey, GE Healthcare Technologies, UBS GE Healthcare Technologies, Pharmaceutical, Teva Pharmaceutical, Federal, Barclays downgrades Rivian, Rivian Automotive, North American EV Locations: Bank of America downgrades, GEHC, David Amsellem U.S
The other bill, from Sen. Bill Cassidy and Sen. Tammy Baldwin, would ban de minimis shipments from China. The provision is more likely to change — a prospect that both Shein and Temu have said they support. Jennifer Ortakales Dawkins/InsiderShipping consultancy ShipMatrix estimates that Shein and Temu each ship more than a million packages to the US daily. It added that almost 50% of all de minimis shipments to the US come from China. Related stories"Changes to the exemption could create a paradigm shift for retailers like Temu and Shein," Bank of America analysts wrote in the note.
Persons: minimis, Earl Blumenauer, Russia —, Bill Cassidy, Sen, Tammy Baldwin, Cassidy, Baldwin, Jay Sole, It's, Jennifer Ortakales Dawkins, Shein's, Temu, Shein, Donald Tang, SHEIN, de minimis, they've, Steve Story, Sole, Satish Jindel, ShipMatrix, Jindel Organizations: Business, Customs, Rep, Bank of America, US Chamber of Commerce, Express, UBS, Pinduoduo Holdings, Goods, Shipping, Chinese Communist Party, China . Shipping, Wired, Shein, American Apparel and Footwear Association, Apex Logistics International, Walmart Locations: Xinjiang, China, Russia, Sen, Singapore, Boston, minimis, United States, mstone@insider.com
Nike also reiterated its full-year guidance for midsingle-digit revenue growth. NKE YTD mountain Nike stock. The firm maintains an overweight rating on Nike stock and forecasts nearly 53% upside from Thursday's $89.62 close. McShane has a $136 per share price target on Nike stock, which implies more than 51% upside. Despite a near-term "choppy" outlook for Nike growth, the analyst says the company is well-positioned to navigate headwinds including "tough comparisons" and stiffer competition.
Persons: Matthew Boss, aren't, Jay Sole, Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, McShane, Morgan Stanley's Alex Straton, Straton, Paul Lejuez, Lejuez, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nike, LSEG, JPMorgan, UBS, Paris Olympics, Air Max, 2Q, Citi Locations: U.S
While consumer spending data has been surprisingly resilient this year, there are signs that household wallets may have hit their limit. "We asked consumers about their Holiday season spending plans in July and September. The percentage of consumers who said they plan to spend less this Holiday season jumped 840 [basis points] sequentially, while the percentage who said they plan to spend more rose only 340 [basis points]. "The U.S. consumer will determine whether or not the U.S. economy glides down for a 'soft landing' in the months ahead. On Wall Street, slower consumer spending would spell particularly bad news for retailers that are already struggling.
Persons: Jay Sole, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, we've, Senyek, UBS's, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Target, Dick's Sporting Goods, UBS, Fed, Wolfe Research, Retail Locations: U.S
As investors turn the page on a rough August, CNBC Pro found stocks that are set for comeback if the market regains its footing. Investors are in the last week of what has been a difficult month for stocks. CNBC Pro surfaced some stocks that could be due for a comeback. A slew of travel and entertainment names surfaced on the list. Expedia Group , MGM Resorts International and Wynn Resorts were other travel stocks that surfaced on the list.
Persons: David Sneddon, It's, Vivek Arya, Ralph Lauren, Jay Sole, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC Pro, Nasdaq, Investors, Wall Street, American Airlines Group, Caesars Entertainment, Cruise Line Holdings, Cruise, Expedia, MGM Resorts International, Wynn Resorts, Technology, Bank of America, UBS Locations: Beta
Though studies on the topic are hard to come by, anecdotal evidence points to a continued love for casual and comfortable items exiting the pandemic. The two stocks have diverged this year: Lululemon shares have advanced nearly 20%, while Nike shares have slid 7%. The majority of Wall Street views the stock favorably, with more than 70% of analysts rating it a buy or strong buy, according to Refinitiv. Deckers' shares are up 39% in 2023. DECK 5Y mountain Deckers shares over the last half decade Analysts see more upside ahead.
Persons: comfort's, Simeon Siegel, Ashley Owens, ONON, BMO's Siegel, Cowen's John Kernan, Baird, Jonathan Komp, Bank of America's David Roux, Roux, Hoka, Raymond James, Rick Patel, Patel, Jay Sole, Sole, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall Street, BMO Capital Markets, Companies, Street, Lululemon, Nike, Bank of America's, UBS
Nike can still reach its long-term targets and double its stock price, according to UBS. The firm reiterated a buy rating on Nike stock in a Tuesday note with a $150 per share price target. Nike stock has slumped about 8% in 2023, underperforming the broad market by a wide margin. Nike stock is currently trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 33.7 times. NKE YTD mountain Nike stock has slipped more than 7% from the start of the year.
Persons: Jay Sole, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nike, UBS Locations: China, Jordan
Some big-name U.S. retailers could struggle as Chinese e-commerce company Shein gains ground in the country, UBS warned. "We believe SHEIN's momentum to continue, and the company could take major market share from US Softlines companies. Elsewhere, UBS data showed Shein was the second most-downloaded shopping app in the U.S. over the past month behind Temu.com. Nearly a quarter of those Shein shoppers said sales are not important to them, which is higher than average. Of typical clothing retailers, shoppers of Shein in the last three months were most likely to also shop at TJX Companies ' TJ Maxx during that period.
Persons: Jay Sole, Shein, Sole, Temu, TJ Maxx, Ross, There's, Nordstrom, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Wall, Companies, Inc, Navy, Amazon, Walmart, Target Locations: U.S, Shein, American
With student loan payments set to resume this fall, borrowers are likely going to have to cut back spending — and that's bad news for some retailers. About 40 million Americans have a total of nearly $1.8 trillion in outstanding student loan debt. "We regard the incremental 'essential' nature of the debt payments as likely to reduce discretionary spending by an approximately equal amount." UBS expects the pullback in apparel spending to continue as Americans shift funds to student loan payments. In fact, its analysis of U.S. consumers with student loans shows the trend is even more pronounced among those with student debt.
Persons: Gabriella Carbone, Adrienne Yih, Grant, Christopher Horvers, Jay Sole, KeyBanc, Lots, Bradley Thomas, Horvers, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S . Department of Education, Deutsche Bank, Barclays, JPMorgan Chase, Biden, JPMorgan, CNBC, UBS, Nike, American Eagle Outfitters, Urban, Sporting Goods Locations: Northeast
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading. Goldman Sachs — Shares declined 2.2% in midday trading. Avis — The car rental company surged more than 6%. Chevron , ExxonMobil — Energy giants Chevron and ExxonMobil slipped more than 2% each in midday trading. Dice Therapeutics — Shares surged 37% after Eli Lilly said it was acquiring the biopharmaceutical company for $2.4 billion.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Avis —, Morgan Stanley, Avis, Jay Sole, Rivian, Eli Lilly, Alibaba, Daniel Zhang, Wells, Biden, , Jesse Pound, Alex Harring, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: UBS, Bank of America, Chevron, ExxonMobil — Energy, ExxonMobil, U.S . West Texas, Nike —, Rivian, Ford, GM, Intel, Bloomberg, Wall, JPMorgan Chase Locations: China, Brent, U.S, Germany, Wells Fargo, New York City
Student-loan repayments will soon restart after a years-long pause. Consumers are expected to cut their shopping budgets, especially on apparel, as debt repayments loom. Brands at risk of a spending slowdown include Nike, Gap, and Shopify. The retailers most at risk include Crocs, Nike, Nordstrom, Canada Goose, and Victoria's Secret, the analysts found. "We believe this indicates student loan consumers will reduce spending on apparel in a big way when they have to start paying off their student loan debt."
Persons: , Jay Sole, Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Donald Trump, Biden Organizations: Brands, Nike, Service, UBS, Nordstrom, Eagle Outfitters, Carter's, Consumers, Biden, US Locations: Canada
The survey results reveal a bunch of fascinating findings, especially when student loan consumers are compared against the average US adult over 18. The average income for student loan consumers was $65,400, slightly less than the $66,200 for the average US consumer. Student loan consumers are more likely to have purchased something from Nike over the past six months than any other brand. UBS argues the end of the student loan payment moratorium will hit a bunch of brands and retailers like American Eagle Outfitters, Nike, and Gap. As my colleague Ayelet Sheffey has reported, the Biden administration remains confident that the Supreme Court will rule in its favor over the legality of its student debt forgiveness.
Persons: , Jay Sole, They're, Levi's Jeans, Calvin Klein, Armour, Zers, Ayelet Sheffey, Biden Organizations: UBS, Service, Student, Nike, American Eagle Outfitters, TIAA Institute
Consumers will tighten their purse strings as federal student loan payments resume, and a slew of retail stocks could take a hit, UBS found. That lagging performance is expected to continue, especially since the debt ceiling legislation includes a provision that will end a pause on federal student loan payments by September, according to UBS analyst Jay Sole in a Sunday report. "Our new analysis of U.S. consumers with student loans suggests they are likely to disproportionately reduce spending on softgoods vs. other categories as they shift funds to paying down student debt," said Sole. For instance, nearly 37% of student loan consumers bought Nike products, compared with about 29% of all U.S. adults. About 62% of the consumers polled agreed with the statement, "My philosophy of spending is 'Live for today because tomorrow is so uncertain,'" the bank found.
Persons: Jay Sole, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Eagle Outfitters, Nordstrom, Nike Locations: Crocs, Canada, U.S
UBS is bearish on Foot Locker , saying that the shoe retailer is unlikely to drive revenue growth in a recession. Sole said he does not believe "enough bad news is priced in" for Foot Locker and several other softline stocks. UBS said Foot Locker also faces more challenges to growth as Nike — which currently accounts for 70% of Foot Locker's sales — grows its direct-to-consumer businesses. UBS' downgrade comes after Foot Locker issued a mixed fourth-quarter report. Foot Locker shares were down 2.6% during premarket trading on Wednesday.
Hoka, which started in 2009 in France as a running shoe for hardcore marathoners, is growing rapidly with casual runners, hikers and weightlifters. “There wasn’t anyone doing what Hoka was doing.”But Hoka carved out a niche in specialty running shops. By 2019, Hoka sales topped $220 million. “We don’t see this as just a running brand,” Deckers CEO David Powers said in October. “This is a running, trail, hike brand that is more like a North Face” than Brooks running shoes.
Levi Strauss gives upbeat 2023 sales outlook as demand holds up
  + stars: | 2023-01-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Jan 25 (Reuters) - Levi Strauss & Co (LEVI.N) forecast annual sales above Wall Street estimates on Wednesday, in a sign that demand for its jeans is holding up better than feared. Shares of the denim maker were up nearly 8% in extended trading after it also topped fourth-quarter sales and profit estimates. However, Levi's said it saw more consumers shopping at its stores in the Americas and Asia, boosting its direct-to-consumer business. Levi's fourth-quarter net revenue of $1.59 billion edged past estimates of $1.57 billion, while adjusted profit of 34 cents per share topped expectations of 29 cents. Reporting by Deborah Sophia in Bengaluru and Kate Masters in New York; Editing by Maju SamuelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Wall Street analysts think Nike is moving in the right direction after the company reported strong earnings, as well as signs of improving inventory. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley analyst Alex Straton raised her price target to $138, from $127, following the earnings beat. The new price target implies shares could jump more than 33% from Tuesday's closing price. Bank of America analyst Lorraine Hutchinson reiterated a neutral rating on the stock, but raised her price target to $120, up from $112. "Nike's strong revenue surprised to the upside but the company didn't move through as much inventory as we expected.
After a record number of store closures in 2020, retailers have shuttered far fewer doors over the last two years, but that may be about to change, especially for department stores, according to UBS. He also said that he believes the lack of store closures has made it harder for retailers to grow sales. Compares got tougher in 2Q22 as the industry lapped the big store closures. Our view is tough compares remain a reason Department Store sales will remain under pressure in the 1H23." Instead, he said, many store closures that would have occurred in 2021 or 2022 were accelerated by the pandemic.
Sales are stalling in 2022, but department store closures have stayed flat since early 2021. "These trends are likely not good for department stores as both luxury companies as well as off-price retailers compete directly with department stores," UBS analysts Jay Sole, Mauricio Serna, Shoshana Pollack, and Tiffany Agard wrote. Department stores like Nordstrom and Kohl's were left with too many stores as consumer spending wanes. Things didn't improve for department stores during the start of the holidays shopping season. According to Commerce Department data, November department store sales were down nearly 3% from last year, and UBS analysts predict department store sales will "remain under pressure" in the first half of 2023.
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